AI In Gaming Has Flopped

Humanity may be on a colossal technology frontier, but gaming is being dragged along with AI. Instead of surfing atop the wave, it’s retreated to the wake. Gaming has historically been the first-best use case for new technology, so where did it all go so wrong? In the 26 months since ChatGPT launched, Web3 has…

The Game is Outside the Game

Matthew Ball’s 2024 gaming review paints an industry that had a good ride but is settling into stagflation. The Metaverse is nowhere to be found; instead, growth drivers like cloud streaming and GTA pricing replace it. If Stadia is the best we can do, we’re truly fucked. I wrote in agreement earlier this year with…

On Riot’s Arcane and It’s Cost

Arguments justifying Arcane on the grounds that “Riot can afford it” are already lost. This framing positions Arcane as a cost center. Marketing heads are commonly called “Heads of Growth” because marketing isn’t supposed to be a cost center; instead, it ought to be a profit center. It’s a beautiful show (I loved it! Thank…

WTF Are These Three Battle Pass Things

When I wrote, Economics of Battle Pass Are Broken. Let’s Fix It in 2021; I argued that designers needed to play with ADMC (average daily monetization cap) to transform the pass from an engagement to a monetization vertical. Since then, every subsequent “innovation” has been a creative exercise in price increases. Fortnite realized this long…

Three Things from the Play Ventures Summit

1. Distribution The mobile “meta” is getting games in players’ hands post-ATT. The unintended consequences of Apple’s destruction of mobile acquisitions haven’t been to regain distribution control but for firms to find alternatives. “Content Fortress” ad networks, messenger apps, fake ads becoming white-lie ads, web stores, a return to brand marketing angles, and yes, web3,…

It’s Time for Games to Embrace Aggregation Theory

In tech writer Ben Thompson’s infamous aggregation theory, economic power derives from supply ownership—train barons owned the track and leveraged that power up and down the supply chain. The internet flipped the relationship: with near zero switching and distribution costs, suppliers instead aggregated user demand to leverage suppliers. Consider Amazon: aggregating millions of customers gained…